Cognition requires going beyond the information given, to make bets and therefore to risk errors.

Cognition requires going beyond the information given, to make bets and therefore to risk errors.

Gerd Gigerenzer

The quote emphasizes that cognition isn’t just about processing the information we receive; it’s an active process that involves making predictions and taking risks. When we encounter new information, our brains must interpret it, fill in gaps, and sometimes make educated guesses based on prior knowledge. This means that thinking deeply often requires us to venture beyond what is immediately apparent.

To “make bets” refers to the choices we make based on our understanding of a situation—essentially predicting outcomes. For example, when deciding whether to invest in a new opportunity or take a certain job offer, we’re weighing available data against potential risks and rewards. This aspect of cognition acknowledges that errors are part of the learning process; by stepping outside the known into uncertain territory, we expose ourselves to mistakes but also open up possibilities for growth and innovation.

In today’s world, where information is abundant yet often overwhelming—think social media feeds or rapid news cycles—this approach can be particularly relevant. It encourages critical thinking and discernment: rather than accepting everything at face value, individuals are prompted to analyze contexts and motives behind information sources before forming opinions or making decisions.

In personal development, embracing this mindset can lead to significant growth. For instance:

1. **Learning from Mistakes**: Accepting that errors are part of taking risks can help people become more resilient and willing to try new experiences without fear of failure.

2. **Goal Setting**: When setting personal goals—or “making bets” about your future—it encourages individuals to assess their current situations against their aspirations while considering potential pitfalls along the way.

3. **Adaptability**: In rapidly changing environments (like technology or career landscapes), being willing to extend beyond current knowledge allows for adaptability—a crucial trait for success today.

4. **Creative Problem Solving**: In professional settings or everyday life challenges, this cognitive flexibility fosters creativity by prompting individuals to think outside conventional frameworks instead of relying solely on existing data points.

Overall, recognizing that cognition extends beyond mere reception invites a proactive stance toward learning and decision-making—encouraging exploration while acknowledging uncertainty as an inherent part of growth.

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